The Smarter Way to Follow Elections

Latest Update

Early voting has started in Arizona’s Republican governor primary, where Andy Biggs and David Schweikert are competing for the nomination. Biggs is described as the frontrunner with Trump’s endorsement. A cited poll shows Gov. Katie Hobbs leading both Republicans in hypothetical general-election matchups. Biggs appears to have the edge in the primary based on endorsement and frontrunner status. The general-election polling cited in the coverage may temper confidence in either GOP nominee.

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Nithya Raman is emerging as the frontrunner in the Los Angeles mayoral race, building momentum in the home stretch as the field remains fragmented.

Latest Update

Ken Paxton has secured the Republican nomination after beating John Cornyn in the Texas GOP runoff. James Talarico is the Democratic nominee and has already raised more than $40 million, mostly from small donors. Recent reports also note his outreach to Silicon Valley donors as both sides prepare for the general election. Paxton’s nomination is now settled, reducing primary uncertainty.

Latest Update

JD Vance’s role in the Iran peace talks is putting him more squarely in the 2028 GOP conversation. Reuters also says Marco Rubio is seen as another possible contender. Vance has not announced a run and may wait until after the midterms to decide. The news modestly boosts Vance’s visibility as a possible 2028 contender, but it also adds uncertainty because the Iran talks could cut either way politically. Rubio remains in the mix, so the field is still open.